For that case, it’s crucial to set a stop-loss to reduce risk. The odds movement can be very profitable for trading strategies, such as scalping when you can take advantage following that trend. Besides it could be a decisive factor when you run a particular strategy and some bets diminish in value, so you have to take the decision put out of your system. The study of the dropping odds should be considerate as another component of the elements of your betting systems, but our experience tells us that it has to be combined with other items of analysis.

If the odds are dropping, that may lead to some punters to think that the team A is more likely to win because of that, and perhaps the bookie is just adjusting its profit for this match. The bookmakers want to keep a balanced book so that they make a profit regardless of the event outcome. There is an important thing to be taken into account. In fact, more and more websites exhibit the dropping odds in terms of percentage. ConclusionsĪs you can see, if you analyse the data without any filter at all, it seems there is no particular pattern or trend to take a decision about the usefulness of the data. You will meet a lot of punters that find vital this kind of information. Anyway, before jumping to conclusions we have to examine in depth the data and run some tests, and we will let you know the results. We will study in detail this data because it may be an indication of a possible strategy. We wanted to show you the data when the home team odds suffer a huge increase from the beginning the profit made after that increase is significant. Let’s see the table: Rising Home Team Odds Many times the odds undergo significant changes, and we want to confirm if that has a positive effect on the results.Īfter checking the results, we want to show the percentage range where it made the highest profit that is betting on the Home Team after a big increased in the odds from the opening price. We want to analyse the odds movements regarding percentage to test if that could be a signal. We usually think about dropping odds as the best way to maximise profits, but what happens if we do the opposite process, search for a huge increase in the odds to take advantage of that rise. These are the results to bet on the Home Team and Away Team when final odds are higher or lower than the opening price. To bet one unit on the Home Team / Away Team, closing odds. Odds.Odds are taken from Pinnacle Sports, Opening and Closing, pre-match.Data Sample. More than 70,000 football games from several years.We will show the results separated between Home Team and Away Team Odds.

Betting one unit on the Home Team, closing odds, when they have dropped, from the initial price.Betting one unit on the Home Team, closing odds, when they have risen, from the initial price.The experiment consisted of two different test: We want to show you the results of this study. If you bet following the trends of the dropping odds, as a rule, we want to prove whether it is a profitable system or whether, on the contrary, the final price is already discounted when you place that bet. The study is based on the Match Odds (1X2) market and the assumption that all games are not manipulated, and the liquidity is high enough. Nowadays, it is very common to see a lot of websites monitoring the dropping odds, but is it really related to the outcome of the game? Is it a useful information for the punter? If you see match odds dropping from 2.00 to 1.60, what does it mean? If the match is not under unusual circumstances, it should show the direction of the money many punters bet on the team which odds are dropping, but we want to test if that info is helpful for betting decisions.

The goal of this study is to explore the behaviour of the odds from the opening to the final odds, pre-match event. We want to share with all of you a research made regarding the movement of betting odds, from the opening odds to the start of the game.

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